Postnord Danmark Rundt 2023 – Stage 4

The riders start in Kalundborg on the western part of Zealand and finish in the northern suburbs of Copenhagen in Bagsværd. Once again, we finish on a circuit.

Route

With just 1200 climbing meters, it looks like a day for the fast men.

Finale

They do more or less four laps. Most of the circuit features wide roads but the last 800m are on double-lane roads “only”. The last corner is 600m left, having a good lead-out is ideal.

Weather

Headwind throughout the day, dry and 20 degrees C.

How will the stage unfold?

It is the last chance for many to get in the breakaway and there are a few points left for the hill-jersey. Yet, they are up against Quick-Step, Uno-X, DSM and Lidl-Trek, meaning it will be a bunch sprint

Contenders

Jakobsen – he got everything he wants here. A tractor to keep the breakaway within a reasonable distance and a solid lead-out. Solid does not cut it, he has a world class lead-out in Mørkøv and C. Pedersen. It is his stage to lose.

M. Pedersen – he is good enough on his own in a sprint. We have another headwind sprint, perhaps he has learned from his mistake and will open his sprint a bit later than on stage 2.

Wærenskjold – Quick enough to challenge for a win here but the podium is the most realistic thing. He would like a few bonus seconds before the time trial, the podium is still within reach.

Lund Andresen – I like what I see from the young Dane. He will likely be on his own, something that will make it difficult to win.

Plowright – I decided to take him over Stanisław Aniołkowski due to the fact he has a good set of riders to keep him near the front. He has not been as good as I expected his first year as a pro. I think he is good enough for a top-5.

Moschetti – the massive joker. He has a strong team of rouleurs and Sajnok is a capable lead-out rider. On his best days, he fools everyone here.

Stars

⭐⭐⭐ Jakobsen
⭐⭐ Pedersen, Wærenskjold
⭐ Lund Andresen, Plowright, Moschetti

Who will win?

Another one for Jakobsen.